Emerging Housing Markets

San Diego, CA

Dear Real Estate Investor:

Real estate investing is about timing. There is a time to buy and a time to hold. There’s a time to sell and a time to be in cash.

Getting the timing right is 98% of the game.

Look carefully at this graph.

In every major U.S. city, all real estate follows the same repeating pattern with sobering regularity. Every major upcycle has always been followed by a steep downward slide. Then the market hits bottom and goes up again. This is what real estate markets do – they cycle from boom to bust and back to boom again.

Depending on your timing, the end result is always the same: Riches for some, misery for others.

Is it possible to avoid the dangers while at the same time prospering during the good markets?

Yes, but this is what you have to do: you have to put aside the mantra of location, location, location and instead watch the trends – and it’s the direction of the trends that will tell you when and where your money should be invested.

How to Spot Emerging Housing Markets

Before I answer, I want to ask you a question.

How much real estate would you buy … if you knew with a reasonably high degree of certainty that prices were at the bottom of the cycle and that an upswing was ready to emerge that would take prices higher again?

I bet you would want all you could get.

Well listen: Based on a real estate timing discovery that I made in 1993, I found that it’s possible to predict the peaks … and the troughs … of real estate cycles with an accuracy rate of approximately 80%.

That’s correct – 80% accuracy.

What’s the secret?

When you know what data to look at, I learned that the real estate market will “speak to you” loud and clear with respect to its future intentions.

It’s true. No smoke, no mirrors, no magic. And in my book Timing the Real Estate Market, I provide 26 years of data proving that my timing model works.

The Message of the Market:

Timely Signals to Buy and Sell

To introduce myself, my name is Robert Campbell. I have been studying real estate cycles since I graduated from UCLA in 1969, where I earned a degree in Economics. I also have an MBA in Finance from San Diego State University.

What I found is that there are five market-driven indicators (which I call “Vital Signs”) that have been remarkably accurate for predicting major trend changes in the real estate market. And they do this with a lead time of approximately 3 to 6 months. If you read my book, I identify these key indicators for you.

This early warning detection system gives you the strategic advantage of being able to buy or sell – in whatever city you choose – before mass crowd psychology starts to move real estate prices higher or lower in a significant way.

So what controls the direction of real estate trends?

Simple – supply and demand. This is the market’s driving force. If there is more demand for houses than there is supply, the price of houses will rise. If there is more supply than demand, prices will fall.

It all boils down to basic mathematics – which is the only scientific way to forecast the cycles of boom and bust. Numbers don’t lie – they reflect reality … and the closer you get to the truth, the better your investment decisions will be.

And what about market “opinions” … let’s say from the financial sages?

What are those opinions worth?

Most of the time zero. Absolutely nothing.

Fact is, the only opinion that matters is the “opinion” of the market – and that’s why I feel a data-driven approach that anticipates changing trends is the biggest advantage you can give yourself.

And please don’t let anyone ever tell you that you can’t “time the real estate market” – because my timing model proved you can. CLICK HERE to see for yourself.

The Timing Strategy: Think like a Farmer

Have you ever tried to grow crops in the wintertime?

You have to spend days or weeks preparing the soil, use special fertilizers to stimulate growth, and then find ways to protect the seedlings from the elements.

Even after all this hard work, the crops struggle to survive … and most die.

But if you wait until springtime to grow crops, it’s a totally different story. All you have to do is take handfuls of seeds and toss them on the ground.

Without doing hardly anything else …Presto! … they grow like crazy.

This good timing, bad timing principle works in exactly the same way in real estate. When you buy real estate at the right time – when prices are at a market cycle low – you start making money almost immediately … and with low risk.

Is this Timing Model for You?

Yes, it could be – especially if you believe that a focus on timing and trends can increase your odds of becoming a more profitable real estate investor.

Here’s why I say this ….

You’ll know when – and where – the next housing boom is likely to emerge. You can live where you want, and invest where you can make the most money.

You’ll be ahead of the curve – spotting housing market turning points early.

You’ll know the best time to buy a house or investment property. You’ll buy into emerging markets early – not late.

You’ll feel a greater sense of ‘control’ than you’ve ever felt before. When you know which way the trends are going, you’ll know which way prices are likely to go.

You’ll let the “message of the market” guide you, not the emotional pull of the crowd. Data-driven decision making is the name of the game today – not running with the emotionally driven herd.

You’ll be more aware, more relaxed, and more confident. You’ll anticipate emerging markets as they occur, and not be surprised or caught off guard by them.

You won’t have to pour over financial pages, listen to news reports, and try to guess the direction of the market. When you are “locked-in” to what the market is saying – this is the best way to get it right. Very little is left to the imagination, or for you to figure out.

You’ll take control of your own financial future. You’ll make money in real estate by design – using your brain – not by luck.

You’ll turn real estate downturns into once-in-a-lifetime profit opportunities. You won’t have to take big risks to make big profits.

You’ll make buying decisions that are based on a 26-year timing system with an accuracy rate of ~ 80%. No more hit-or-miss guesswork that costs you money.

You Can Make Spectacular Profits –

But Still Be Careful!

You and I both know that the best deals are made when the real estate downturns come. This means that falling prices are good for bargain hunters, right?

If only it were that simple.

I have to warn you: rushing in too early to buy can be a serious mistake.

Real estate downturns are almost always steep and merciless. But they sometimes have short pauses on the way down. When this happens, industry-group cheerleaders (NAR, CAR, NAHB, etc) – along with the media headlines – will scream “The worst is over” or “Buyers flock back to the market” and so forth.

When you hear this, my advice is to be very, very careful. Stand back, and don’t be fooled. Check my timing model. If you buy before the true bottom is in, this will be a great way to lose money. If the market is going to continue down, don’t let it be your blood that carries it there.

There’s an old saying in the newspaper business: “If you mother says she loves you, check it out.”

I think the same approach should be applied to real estate investing: “Even if your favorite financial expert says the market has hit bottom, check it out.”

The best way to determine if a housing market down cycle has ended, and a new upcycle is beginning, is to know what data to look at – data that is predictive of future price movement. And that’s the reason I created this site – to give you a data-driven timing model that can help you be more successful in real estate.

Final Words:

Is this Timing Model Right for You?

As I said earlier, the difference between success and mediocrity (or failure) in real estate investing usually comes down to one thing – timing.

Because of this, I have formulated what I consider to be the universal law of making money in real estate:

When you get the timing wrong,

Location, location, location is of no use.

When you get the timing right,

Location, location, location is of no need.

It’s easy to understand that the best time to invest in real estate is when a down cycle reverses and a bottom is formed – prices only go up from there.

To identify that bottom, I have developed a financial model for timing the real estate market.

Is this timing model right for you?

Only you can make that decision.

What I do know is that no one wakes up in the morning and tries to figure out how they can be an average investor.

But if you want to become a great real estate investor – you have to give yourself the best possible chance of becoming a great real estate investor. To do that, you have to read the trends correctly and focus on timing

So what is it going to be?

Will you run with the big dogs ahead of the pack? Or will you stay on the porch?

Robert M. Campbell

858-481-3235

PS: To buy my book Timing the Real Estate Market, CLICK HERE.